Post by discrider on Oct 31, 2013 5:53:45 GMT
You make it through the night okay Preda?
I'm okay at the moment. Didn't get attacked.
But still we need to think hard about what we're going to do.
As I see it, we have maybe 3 options.
The first is the hardest. We go and join someone who knows what they're doing. How we convince them that we're legitimate at this stage, I have no idea. But at the moment we're so isolated that should mafia or kill squad pick one of us off, the other one is likely to be unable to prove anything. As I said last turn, I don't like the risks involved here. This scared me off. But I think we'll have to suck it up if we want to win/live.
Second, we could try to bunker down. If we buff each other up to full evasion and defense, and are active enough in the thread, we may have a chance of tanking our opponents (mafia/random kill crazy hitsquads) and voting out all the mafia. However, to do this we'll either need to discover our own leads about the mafia and follow them, or figure out who's trustworthy or otherwise has the most likely idea of who the mafia are. If we fail to make an impression on our other villagers, the isolation and possible incorrect guesses will condemn us to vote or hitsquad. If we make too good an impression, then the mafia will target us instead. We may be able to walk the line, but it's tough. Plus I've been scouring the post history for the phalla, and most of what everyone active says is rubbish anyway. That is socialisation mainly. As for votes, many are based on how people are playing compared to previous games, which we don't have an insight into. I can try and have been trying to decrypt all this, but I don't think I'm able to, and I don't think the town even has any idea how to based on the vote spreads each day.
The only other option is the crazy one of "kill them before they kill us" where we manage to completely annihilate the mafia and become village heroes. More likely we'd be striking out blindly just like all the other people announcing targets and killing villagers. Not a very worthwhile option.
So, I'm going to ask for help from other people today. I'll continue to scout the thread and figure out who looks most trustworthy so we can get into bed with them. Preferably someone who's not complaining about being hit mind. No point me walking us into a group who's just going to keel over on us.
In the meantime, you can go about the same thing if you want. But what's absolutely necessary for you to do at the moment, I think, is get your voice onto the main board. People look like they are suspecting you, or will suspect you when there are less targets, as being mafia because you're too quiet. It may be too little too late now that it's day 7 and your record is looking a bit sparse, but at least explain why you're voting the way you are, even if it's "I like the original voter's reasoning". If you have to, enumerating the list of people you don't suspect as being mafia, and why, goes a decent way to proving that you're not mafia by showing that you've at least considered everyone deeply, when the mafia themselves would not have done so as they already know who is and isn't mafia, and don't need to look for reason for why someone isn't mafia. And if all else fails, then I can try to back you up with action records, but I don't know how much credibility I'll be able to lend.
But until we get additional contacts and potentially different orders, I think we lock in sukujaja on each other again, in the hopes that it fends off the killers.
If you have any ideas or comments on the above, just ask.
I'm okay at the moment. Didn't get attacked.
But still we need to think hard about what we're going to do.
As I see it, we have maybe 3 options.
The first is the hardest. We go and join someone who knows what they're doing. How we convince them that we're legitimate at this stage, I have no idea. But at the moment we're so isolated that should mafia or kill squad pick one of us off, the other one is likely to be unable to prove anything. As I said last turn, I don't like the risks involved here. This scared me off. But I think we'll have to suck it up if we want to win/live.
Second, we could try to bunker down. If we buff each other up to full evasion and defense, and are active enough in the thread, we may have a chance of tanking our opponents (mafia/random kill crazy hitsquads) and voting out all the mafia. However, to do this we'll either need to discover our own leads about the mafia and follow them, or figure out who's trustworthy or otherwise has the most likely idea of who the mafia are. If we fail to make an impression on our other villagers, the isolation and possible incorrect guesses will condemn us to vote or hitsquad. If we make too good an impression, then the mafia will target us instead. We may be able to walk the line, but it's tough. Plus I've been scouring the post history for the phalla, and most of what everyone active says is rubbish anyway. That is socialisation mainly. As for votes, many are based on how people are playing compared to previous games, which we don't have an insight into. I can try and have been trying to decrypt all this, but I don't think I'm able to, and I don't think the town even has any idea how to based on the vote spreads each day.
The only other option is the crazy one of "kill them before they kill us" where we manage to completely annihilate the mafia and become village heroes. More likely we'd be striking out blindly just like all the other people announcing targets and killing villagers. Not a very worthwhile option.
So, I'm going to ask for help from other people today. I'll continue to scout the thread and figure out who looks most trustworthy so we can get into bed with them. Preferably someone who's not complaining about being hit mind. No point me walking us into a group who's just going to keel over on us.
In the meantime, you can go about the same thing if you want. But what's absolutely necessary for you to do at the moment, I think, is get your voice onto the main board. People look like they are suspecting you, or will suspect you when there are less targets, as being mafia because you're too quiet. It may be too little too late now that it's day 7 and your record is looking a bit sparse, but at least explain why you're voting the way you are, even if it's "I like the original voter's reasoning". If you have to, enumerating the list of people you don't suspect as being mafia, and why, goes a decent way to proving that you're not mafia by showing that you've at least considered everyone deeply, when the mafia themselves would not have done so as they already know who is and isn't mafia, and don't need to look for reason for why someone isn't mafia. And if all else fails, then I can try to back you up with action records, but I don't know how much credibility I'll be able to lend.
But until we get additional contacts and potentially different orders, I think we lock in sukujaja on each other again, in the hopes that it fends off the killers.
If you have any ideas or comments on the above, just ask.